A cikin nazarinta na sufurin jiragen ruwa na shekarar 2021, Babban Taron Majalisar Dinkin Duniya kan Ciniki da Ci gaba (UNCTAD) ya ce hauhawar farashin kaya a halin yanzu, idan aka dore, na iya kara farashin shigo da kayayyaki na duniya da kashi 11% da kuma farashin mabukaci da kashi 1.5% tsakanin yanzu. kuma 2023.
1#.Saboda bukatu mai karfi, da kuma karancin kayan aiki da kwantena, rage amincin sabis, cunkoso a tashar jiragen ruwa, da tsawaita jinkiri, rashin tabbas kan samar da kayayyaki yana ci gaba da karuwa, ana sa ran farashin jigilar teku zai ci gaba da karuwa.
2#.Idan aka ci gaba da hauhawar farashin kaya a cikin kwantena, daga yanzu zuwa 2023, farashin shigo da kayayyaki na duniya na iya tashi da kashi 11%, kuma farashin mabukaci na iya tashi da kashi 1.5%.
3#.Ta hanyar ƙasa, yayin da farashin jigilar kayayyaki ya yi tashin gwauron zabo, ƙididdigan farashin kayan masarufi na Amurka zai tashi da kashi 1.2%, China kuma za ta tashi da kashi 1.4%.Ga ƙananan ƙasashe waɗanda suka dogara sosai kan shigo da kayayyaki don biyan mafi yawan buƙatun mabukaci, za su iya zama manyan waɗanda abin ya shafa a cikin tsarin, kuma farashin su na iya tashi da kusan 7.5%.
4#.Sakamakon rabon kayan masarufi, farashin kayan masarufi, kayan daki da kayan sawa sun yi tashin gwauron zabi, inda a duniya ya karu da akalla kashi 10%.
Tasirin manyan cajin dakon kaya zai fi girma a cikin ƙananan ƙasashe masu tasowa na tsibiri (SIDS), wanda zai iya ganin farashin shigo da kaya ya karu da kashi 24% da kuma farashin masu amfani da kashi 7.5%.A cikin ƙananan ƙasashe masu tasowa (LDCs), matakan farashin mabukaci na iya ƙaruwa da 2.2%.
Ya zuwa ƙarshen 2020, farashin kaya ya ƙaru zuwa matakan da ba a zata ba.An bayyana wannan a cikin ƙimar tabo ta Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI).
Misali, ƙimar tabo ta SCFI akan hanyar Shanghai-Turai bai kai $1,000 ga kowane TEU a watan Yuni 2020, ya yi tsalle zuwa kusan $4,000 kowane TEU a ƙarshen 2020, kuma ya tashi zuwa $7,552 kowane TEU a ƙarshen Nuwamba 2021.
Bugu da ƙari, ana sa ran farashin kaya zai ci gaba da ƙaruwa saboda ci gaba da buƙata mai ƙarfi haɗe da rashin tabbas da kuma damuwa game da ingancin sufuri da tashoshi.
A cewar sabon rahoto daga Sea-Intelligence, wani kamfanin ba da bayanai na ruwa na Copenhagen da kamfanin ba da shawara, jigilar teku na iya ɗaukar fiye da shekaru biyu don komawa matakan al'ada.
Binciken na UNCTAD ya nuna cewa yawan kayan dakon kaya yana da tasiri sosai kan farashin kayan masarufi na wasu kayayyaki fiye da na wasu, musamman wadanda suka fi hade da sarkar samar da kayayyaki a duniya, kamar kwamfutoci, da kayan lantarki da na gani.
Lokacin aikawa: Nuwamba-30-2021
